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Account ···0363

The busiest account on the desk today: its rebalance is approved and staging, it carries the book's heaviest Marcela exposure at 18%, and its largest position is 91% likely to be called October 15 — the same day it owes a $150k withdrawal.

Value $2.14M clean Cash $12k Positions 28 TEY 4.55% Duration 6.8y Rating AA− Avg life drifting long
Staging this account's approved rebalance orders Watching its 5 Marcela-exposed holdings for repricing or news Withdrawal sell plan drafted and priced · 6:52 AM

Today's items

 

Marcela: five holdings, $385k par in the path

A Key West water/sewer revenue ($120k, uninsured), two South Florida school district GOs ($150k combined, insured), a Broward utility ($70k, uninsured), and a New Orleans airport revenue ($45k, uninsured). All five carry current research and none shows adverse news — the exposure is the storm's path, not the credits' finances. Two of the five are sells in the rebalance now staging, which cuts the exposed par to $220k before landfall.

Alert me on any repricingWhat would a direct Key West hit do?
How this was built
  • NHC advisory 14 joined to each bond's location from its official statement
  • Insurance and escrow status from bond terms; research and news re-run on all five at 5:32 AM
  • Overlap check against the staged rebalance: the Key West water/sewer and New Orleans airport positions are its two sells

Rebalance approved — orders staging

Approved at 7:09 with the batch. Two sells, three buys, turnover $92k, pickup +19 bp TEY, and average life comes back inside the mandate band. Both sells are the Marcela-exposed credits above; the buys carry no storm-path exposure.

Staging orders · sells priced, buys reserved
The five orders
Sell · Key West FL Water & Sewer Rev
49327MWS4
$120kpriced ✓4.5y
Sell · New Orleans Aviation Board Rev
64766NAV2
$45kpriced ✓5.9y
Buy · Mountain States Water Auth Rev 2033$80kreserved
Buy · Plains Unified School GO 2031$50kreserved
Buy · Lakes Region Sewer Rev 2034$35kreserved

The likely October 15 call and the withdrawal

The 2032 water reclamation bond ($200k, the account's largest) is callable at par October 15 — 91% on the model. If called, the proceeds cover the $150k withdrawal due the same day with no sells, leaving $50k to reinvest. If it isn't called, the drafted sell plan funds the withdrawal at a realized gain of +$2.1k. Either way, $200k of replacement par is lined up at 4.58% to refill the 2032 rung.

Remind me October 13
The two paths, side by side
Call funds the withdrawalno sells · $50k residual to reinvest · rung refill decided afterPlan on this
Refill the rung nowreplacement at 4.58% TEY · withdrawal funded by the sell plan, +$2.1k realizedPlan on this

The ladder

Par by maturity year. The hatched rung is the position the likely call would open.
'26
'27
'28
'29
'30
'31
'32
'33
'34
'35+
Par held Likely to open Oct 15 — replacement lined up

Cash coming back

Next six months — coupons, maturities, and calls the model expects.
$206k
Oct
$8k
Nov
$5k
Dec
$9k
Jan
$6k
Feb
$104k
Mar
Coupons Maturities Expected calls

Holdings

What this account holds

28 positions. Storm-path rows are marked; sells now staging are noted on their rows.
BondParPriceYTWTEYS&PMaturityEff. dur.
Key West FL Water & Sewer Rev
49327MWS4 · storm path · uninsured · sell, staging now
$120k101.423.31%4.71%AA20314.5y
Broward Co FL School Dist GO
11507VGO6 · storm path · insured
$90k99.873.24%4.61%AA20292.8y
South FL School Dist GO Ser. B
83741SDB1 · storm path · insured
$60k100.213.19%4.54%AA20303.7y
Broward Co FL Utility Rev
11512UTL9 · storm path · uninsured
$70k100.883.42%4.87%A+20336.1y
New Orleans Aviation Board Rev
64766NAV2 · storm path · uninsured · sell, staging now
$45k98.713.55%5.05%A−20335.9y
Metro Water Reclamation Rev
59259MWR7 · likely call Oct 15 · 91% on the model · the 2032 rung
$200k100.023.02%4.30%AA−20321.1y
State Turnpike Auth Rev
85732TPK3 · cautionary news · held, no action
$55k99.123.40%4.84%A+20303.6y
Commonwealth GO Ser. 2021
20276CGO8
$110k100.633.08%4.38%AA+20282.6y
20 more positions · Full table with every review column →

Figures par-weighted over researched, priced positions: 28 of 28 CUSIPs carry current research, 27 carry a close of Sep 29 or later. Prices are evaluated closes; call probabilities are modeled, refreshed this morning at 5:32 AM. Tax-equivalent yields use this account's tax profile.